My opinion: the most important aspect is to make informed choices.
Know why you're making certain decisions, know what they bring you,
know what they cost you.
Let's say for the sake of the example that you care about playing
close to max-EV in JoB. In that specific case, you should be able to
find that the EV cost of always discarding the T of a suited KT is
extremely small (I don't have hard numbers, but some software out
there should be able to find it out for you). At that point, there are
essentially two possible ways of thinking:
-you might put so much emphasis on playing max-EV that you might feel
uncomfortable knowingly making a play that is not max-EV.
-you might feel so annoyed at the notion of playing KT that the cost
of discarding the T might be very small compared to the risk of
getting on tilt and making a serious mistake after playing a hand in a
way that you don't like to play.
I don't have detailed numbers for KT and K in SA, but it seems to me
that drawing quad aces on top of a held K after discarding T when KT
would have been a "better" play is incredibly low. It seems to me that
the probability of any hand having a suited KT is less than 1 in 30.
About half of those hands have either an A or another K or T in the
deal and can be trivially dismissed. The probability of drawing quad
aces after holding a single non-ace card (and not dismissing any ace)
is approximately 1-in-180000. Based on those numbers, I predict that
the cycle of the event you're looking for (dropping T in a suited KT
when the KT would have been a better play and then drawing quad aces)
is at least 7 years (assuming 800 HPH, 8 hours per day, 240 days per
year). If I didn't get my numbers wrong, my opinion would be to not
worry about it.
JBQ
On Feb 3, 2008 1:40 PM, npf152512 <npf152512@yahoo.
> Everybody knows you almost never hold a suited ace-ten.
>
> I know - Playing Joker or Deuces Wild? You might hold the ten.
>
> But Jacks or Better? Perhaps only in a progressive, and the payout for
> the royal would have to be astronomical.
>
> My post today, however, concerns a suited king-ten. And it bugs me to
> hold those two in ANY game.
>
> I know, the math says "if the value is greater than the king alone" and
> all that.
>
> But I am a part-time Super Aces player, and I hate to give up a
> valuable spot where those four aces might pop up, or even the other
> three kings. My main sacrifice? Discarding the ten gives me a zero
> percent chance at the royal or straight flush. And I'll lose a few full
> houses, flushes, straights and two pairs along the way.
>
> Any opinions?
>
>
>
> vpFREE Links: http://members.
>
>
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