Re: [vpFREE] Re: Odds

 

Dunbar , I'm not asking about dealt trips or quads. I asking about 2 quads in 12000 hands

On Sat, Feb 8, 2020 at 5:39 PM 'H. Dunbar .' h_dunbar@hotmail.com [vpFREE] <vpFREE@yahoogroups.com> wrote:
 

It's not an easy question to give an exact answer to, at least not for me.  While I'm sure the odds are small, they are not as small as one might think.   When you play 100-line, there's an "all my eggs in one basket" effect.

With single line, your expected number of dealt trips for that amount of play is 253.  But with just 120 dealt hands to work with, you have a significant chance (8%) of never being dealt trips.   

Your chance of being dealt quads in 120 hands is less than 3%.  Compare that to the 94% chance of dealt quads if the same amount of play was done with single-line in the same denomination.

--Dunbar





h_dunbar@hotmail.com

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Posted by: Richard Gordon <theolflash@gmail.com>
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