[vpFREE] Re: Down $10k on a 100% .25 denom vp game

 

I'm skeptical, too, Bob.   I just ran 1000 trials of a million hands, and just 28% of them went $10,000 negative during the million hands.


It could be something other than your RNG resetting at the start.   It could be that the cycle time is insufficient for the quantity of random numbers you need.   

Or, assuming my number is roughly correct, your 4-in-a-row could just be a random 0.6% event!

Wait.   I just realized that you're measuring something different.   Are you saying that at some point during the million hands you reached a point that was $10,000 less than your highest point before that?    That could explain your higher figures.    I'm measuring a $10,000 loss from zero, and you're measuring a $10,000 drop from some previous high point, right?

--Dunbar


---In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, <bobbartop@...> wrote :

NOTI, I didn't get the same end results.  It was just that somewhere during each million hands there was a 40,000 coin downswing.  The end results were quite different.


---In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, <nightoftheiguana2000@...> wrote :

I'm suspicious that you got the same results each time, it's possible of course, but it's also possible that the software you were using reset the pseudo random number generator and seeded it the same way every time, which would give you the same result. There's a lot of problems with PRNG's.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pseudorandom_number_generator#Potential_problems_with_deterministic_generators

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