---In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, <nightoftheiguana2000@...> wrote :
"Average return is a useful metric, but you are unlikely to "get there" with a high variance game like video poker. On the plus side, it is basically a 50-50 proposition that you will either do better or worse than the average return, in other words, the average return is the center line. If you want a metric to "go after", I would strongly suggest Nzero (variance/edge^2 hands)."
As you know, NOTI, it's not really a 50-50 proposition until you've played a whole lot of hands. There have to be some extra losses to make up for the bigger wins you get when you hit a Royal. For example, using the OP's example of 16,000 hands of 99% Double Joker, you'll do worse than the expected 99% return about 59% of the time. After 40,000 hands it's about 54-46. After 100,000 hands, it's still about 53-47.
--Dunbar
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Posted by: h_dunbar@hotmail.com
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