Chances of a dealt royal are about 1 in 649,000. Let's say you play dollar 5 play. You are playing $25 a pull so you will run $16,225,000 through one 1 dealt royal cycle.
About 5% of the time, you will go 3 cycles without hitting a dealt royal/ That would be about $49 million coin in.
Your post mentioned you played single line and quarters as well. So, on average you would hit the dealt royal sooner but since your records aren't particularly accurate, it is very tough to determine if your results are reasonable.
I've been playing video poker for about 25 years and have had 1 dealt royal. If I had to estimate, I'd say that was 2.5 million dealt hands. One dealt royal in 2.5 million hands is about an 8% chance of occurrence. Not even worth mentioning.
More importantly is how many total royals you have in that period. In 649000 hands you would average about about 16 royals. Does it matter if 15 are drawn and one is dealt ? And on 5 play, if you have 649,000 deals, you have played 3,245,000 hands and would average about 80 royals. Does it matter if 80 are from draws and none are from dealt royals?
The more conditions you put on a particular occurrence, the easier it is to find something unusual. If you tracked the suits of royals, you would probably see variance in the occurrence.
Yeah, the math might be boring or confusing, but it works. Most of the unusual occurrences I read about on this site aren't so unusual.
Posted by: greeklandjohnny@aol.com
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