[vpFREE] Re: Wild Mermaid Video Line Game

 

The Jungle Riches version of the tile breaker game has hit one area of Montana. I put down 26 plays on my last road trip. I didn't make any money but I learned a lot about the game. There was something about the game I didn't know when I wrote the OP. It's not how many tiles to go, it's where are those tiles located.

The 20 tiles don't have an equal probability to break. Here are the three ways you can break a tile:

1. A random trigger can break a tile. From what I've seen so far this looks like equal probability to me.

2. Catching Diamond Scatters break tiles. This appears to be equal probability.

3. The third way is not equal probability. You have to hit line pays to break tiles. A Three in a Row will break tiles if they are in the winning spin. A Four in a Row will do the same thing....as also a Five in a Row.

It is much easier to hit a Three in a Row, than Four in a row, and much harder to hit a Five in a Row.

This invariable means the tiles in the first three columns are the easiest to break. The fourth column in harder to break and the fifth column even harder yet.

What you will find in this game is that when you get down to the last few tiles they are practically always in the fourth and fifth columns. And when you get down to 1 tile to go it is like 90% of the time it's in the fifth column. So it costs some pretty good money to spin off that last tile. I got stats for the cost of spinning off the last tile:

22 Plays it cost me 344.4 bets to crack the last tile. That's an average of 15.7 bets per play.
The return in the free games was 562.5 bets. That's an average of 25.6 bets.
So an average win of 9.9 bets per play to spin off the last tile.

I haven't tracked it yet but my way of thinking at this point is "if there are 2 tiles to go in the fifth column then the cost would probably be about 24 bets. This would make it an extremely thin edge play.

Don't go by my stats. First of all it's still a small sample space. Second, the Montana version is different from the Nevada version. Here, in the free games, the nudging wilds only come out in the second and fourth columns. In Nevada the nudging wilds come out in the second, third, fourth and fifth columns. So my guess it your stats would look different than mine.

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Posted by: mickeycrimm@yahoo.com
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