" It is easier to believe you are being cheated instead of making mistakes, having an insufficient bankroll or that RNGs do not produce predictable result
Lets address each of these.....
Mistakes.... Unless you have the brain function of the average 2nd grader, you are not making enough mistake to ruin your edge. Sloppy game strategy is usually on the level of knowing if you hold 227s9s or not on NSUD. Getting these wrong costs no more than about 0.2%, and that is you are really bad. Sure.... Lots of yards hold 33A on JOB, but once you get something close to correct strategy, you are close to optimum play.
Bsnkroll...... That is a totally separate issue. If your bankroll is 10K on $DDB with an overall edge of 0.6%, going broke will happen, and if you then assume you were cheated, you simply have not taken the time to proper risk of ruin calculations. I advocate a ROR of 1% or less. But yeah....If you play over your head and believe you were cheated when it goes sour, you need to re-evaluate. On the other hand, one can lose heavily enough to suspect cheating without going broke. If you lose enough, getting cheated has to become a part of your reckoning.
RNG...... I don't quite get your point here. RNGs are not predictable, they are random. But if you mean that the return from an RNG does not match the theoretical return, then its not a bad RNG, its a cheating machine. Algorithms that produce results that are sufficiently random that, over time, they will produce the theoretical return have been around for a long time. There really is not such thing as a defective RNG in a video poker machine. Its either a good RNG or the game is cheating. Such skewed results are NEVER an accident.
Once you eliminate all this nonsense, you can analyze the actual numbers. If you are in the 3 sigma range in terms of losses, it makes sense to be concerned about being cheated. Such bad results are NOT the result of mistakes with the RNG, poor bankroll, or mistakes.
QZ
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Posted by: James Morgan <what7do7you7want@yahoo.com>
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