Growchowski has some factual errrors in his article. Flush Attack was not a low paying game, which I will explain later. And when Sigma refit the game to eliminate sitting there with a four flush or a pat flush until the light triggered it did not eliminate the vulturing. It simply changed the way the game was vultured. After the refit, if you were sitting there not playing your machine, and the flush attack light was triggered on all the other machines, all you had to do was play and complete one game to trigger the light on your machine. Then you played like a bat out of hell until you hit the flush or someone else did.
The next move that many casinos made was unlinking the machines so that when a person triggered flush attack mode no one else could get the flush, that is, unless that person got up and left while the game was still in mode. We called that phenomenon the Motel 6. You know, Tom Bodette, we'll leave the light on for you.
The unlinking didn't occur in Laughlin for a long time. The first and only bank I know of that got unlinked in Laughlin was at the Pioneer in late 1999. But they unlinked them all across northern Nevada.
So what then became the strategy?
Pros looked at the game a couple of different ways. And one of them was flat wrong. One theory was that you should play 8/5 DB strategy through the first three flushes that payed 5 for 1. Then switch to a strategy based on a 125 coin flush. But if you look at the math, especially on the software, this is not the correct strategy.
8/5 DB is a 94.1897% game. The flush frequency is 91.792. Using the stats from the software looks like this:
91.7092 X 3 X $1.25 is a wager of $343.90 on a game that returns 94.1897%. So you are getting dropped for 5.81%.
$343.90 X 5.81% is a cost of $19.98
Then you switch to the 125 coin strategy which produces a flush every 41.95737 games and returns 134.94162%
41.95737 X $1.25 is a wager of $52.45.
$52.45 X 134.94162% is a profit of $18.33 but the cost of the first three flushes is $19.98. So on a total wager of $396.36 you are losing $1.65. That's a return of 99.5837%.
It was Doug Reul who invented the Flush 50 strategy for the game. He designed one single constant strategy based on the average value of the flush being 50 coins. He published this strategy in Video Poker Times. The first three flushes pay 25 coins and the fourth flush pays 125 coins. Thats an average value of 50 coins. The overall return for this strategy is 101.8394%.
Using Flush 50 strategy the software stats look like this:
With the first three flushes you are at 92.75%. The flush frequency is 55.0096. That's a wager of $206.29 with a drop of 7.25% or a cost of $14.96.
With the 4th flush you have a wager of $68.76 and a return of 129.1% for a profit of $20.01. The cycle for 4 flushes is 220.0384 games which is a total wager of $275.05.
The cost on the first three flushes is $14.96 and the win on the fourth flush is $20.01. That's a $5.05 profit on a wager of $275.05 or a return of 101.83%.
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Posted by: mickeycrimm@yahoo.com
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