Re: [vpFREE] why CE is better than EV

 


I like fivecard's perspective on the subject of CE (and penalty cards).

It's apparent that sometimes technical discussion along the lines that noti (and perhaps myself) introduce here proves to be more of a distraction than it is informative when it comes to members simply looking for the best means by which to strengthen their play.

Concepts such as CE and penalty cards have their place, and I don't think the value of either should be easily dismissed. Relative to most other aspects of play, their value is fractional. But in isolated situations, that value is significant.

A small number of rules for handling frequently occurring penalty card situations (in games such as DW, JB, or DB) when adopted into play, can capture the lion's share of the return shortfall between penalty-free strategy and optimal strategy. You needn't sweat every single conceivable penalty situation for meaningful gain.

And the concept of CE is very illustrative when considering the full implications of breaking 3-2's from 5K in FPDW, or 3-A's from a FH in FPDB. A gambler can't consider themselves fully informed if they merely follow rote strategy in such cases without a decent grasp of the bankroll considerations involved in breaking a sure thing in looking for a stronger draw that's only fractionally better.

That said, I look at the utility of CE and penalty card considerations as being roughly analogous to that of body shaving in competitive swimming. In either case, unless your game is finely honed to near-perfection, you're probably misspending your time by focusing on them.

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Posted by: harry.porter@verizon.net
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