The frequency of the solid 4 is 290. Per empirical evidence there is a disparity in the number of games I'm in each mode (FME;FE;FM;PRG) as it cycles through FME and FE mode is 138 games each; FM mode is 158 games; and PRG mode is 118 games. Percentagewise that would be:
FME....25%
FE.......25%
FM......28.4%
PRG...21.4%
Per 100 cycles (29,000 games) I'm expected to hit 21.4 solid 4's in PRG mode. This doesn't kill the play as it doesn't reset the meters. That means I will hit 78.6 solid 4's in FME/FE/FM modes which, after playing off the free games, will reset the meters and I will have ti take a walk as the game is back in negative expectation.
29,000/78.6 means I will average playing 369 games to hit in one of those modes.
369 times the 17.5% drop means the cost to play it off is 65 bets. So I need an average win bigger than that number. I'll go through some scenario's in the next post.
Posted by: mickeycrimm@yahoo.com
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