RE: [vpFREE] Bob Dancer's LVA - 18 NOV 2014

I am
not a fan of alternative strategies. Perhaps it is ignorance or stubbornness on
my part, but I don't see them as improving my results. I prefer to attempt to
play max-EV strategy close to perfectly rather than sometimes min-royal,
sometimes max-royal, sometimes something else. Every additional strategy in my
arsenal creates a potential for confusing them up and making big mistakes. If NOTI
believes I am leaving money on the table sticking with one strategy, I'll live
with it.



That
said, some of the posts in this thread confuse whether or not I actually hit a
royal flush on the SLS play with what strategy I was using. I connected on a
1-card draw --- something like AKQT suited with an off-suit 7. Even if I were
using a min-royal strategy, I would toss the 7 and hold the other four. AKQT is
both a 4-card flush and a 4-card inside straight --- both including three high
cards. So using the min-royal strategy wouldn't have changed the fact that I
hit a royal. (NOTI correctly noted that it would reduce my CHANCES for a royal --- and CHANCES for profit. But others came close to arguing that since I hit a royal flush, obviously I was using the correct strategy. That, of course, would be nonsense.)




Also, I
learned during the play that a big player had hit at least one $200,000 jackpot
the night before on the same machines. My "best guess" was that the pay
schedules wouldn't survive management's Monday morning post mortem no matter what
I did. Even if I were inclined to suffer worse results to "take one for the
vp-community team," such a gesture this time would likely be futile and
expensive. That made it easier for me to conclude that doing so wouldn't be a
smart idea.



Clearly
NOTI is a bright analyst and contributes a lot to this site. I would welcome
the opportunity to get to know him/her better face to face rather than just
through email. But when it comes to his/her alternative strategies, I'm not a
buyer.
Bob






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