--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, Barry Glazer <b.glazer@...> wrote:
>
> And while errors are most certainly costly in the long run, in the short run (i.e. on an actual individual hand) not every error results in a decreased pay on that hand; sometimes you defy the odds, get lucky, and hit something you might not have hit with the correct play. Again, I definitely understand that actual results do not reflect the theoretical cost of errors, that you can't reasonably expect luck to offset your errors in the long run, and I definitely understand that the theoretical cost is what matters, although some will argue that in short-run actual practice, what matters is how you do, not how you play, and certainly it is hard to discount the value of taking home more money, even if the player taking it home had little right to expect to do so.
>
Barry, by the above rationale, if I play an 8/5 DDB machine that is sitting next to a 9/6 JOB machine and hit aces with a kicker on the DDB machine, that's okay because I made money? We can control the games we play and the holds we make but not the results. Even in the short term, this is dangerous thinking. You see it at the poker tables all the time. People chase 23 to 1 shots when they have to call $20 into a $150 pot. Sure you will hit sometimes but it is still the wrong play.
All of your 'short run' results add up to your 'long run' results. This is why people play more and for bigger stakes when they are 'hot'. People will be $200 at the dice table when they are usually a $10 player because there have 8 passes in a row made.
Short term results should not influence your play decisions.
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