Well, what is "remarkable" is subjective. I will use "remark" (ie, say something to myself or a friend) if I go 1200 hands without four of a kind -- but I won't consider it any kind of major outlier. The 0.0585... probability (which I have not confirmed, but doesn't sound unreasonable) means, if you play 600 hands an hour (many play twice that or more), you went two hours with quads. That certainly has happened to almost anyone who plays the game, and the numbers suggest it should happen about once in every twenty sessions of 1200 hands.
For some, that's once in a two-day trip, for others, who play less and play less often, it may not occur so frequently. "Remarkable" (or not) is, again, subjective. That's why a number, such as the 0.05... figure, is more meaningful in discussing such matters. Then you can take that number, apply it to your rate of play and hours played, and get a rough idea of how often you should expect the event to occur in your own playing "context".
--BG
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> 4c. Re: How likely is it?
>
> > maclarenv12 wrote:
> >
> > >To play 1200 hands of 9/6 JOB and get zero 4OAK?
> >
> > (422.2722/423.2722)^1200 = .05851868
>
> So not remarkable.
>
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