Don't have a link. This was posted on this list about two years ago and I saved it because I found it interesting. I'm pretty sure it was for JoB strategy:
6% are dealt - chances of getting it are 1 in 649,740 deals
31% from 4 card hold - chance of filling is 1 in 47
41% from 3 card hold - chance of filling is 1 in 1,081
19% from 2 card hold - chance of filling is 1 in 16,215
3% from 1 card hold - chance of filling is 1 in 178,365
0.3% from draw 5 - chance of filling is 1 in 500,000
--BG
Looks about right --- except for the chance from draw 5. If you do NOT have a 10, the chances are 1 in 383,484.75. If you do have a 10, the odds are 1 in 511,313. To figure out the weighted average you need to enumerate the number of Draw 5 hands that do and do not contain a 10. That's more work than I want to undertake right now, but 1 in 500,000 expresses longer odds than actually exist.
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