[vpFREE] Re: XVP: Diamond Thief

 

--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "ma18ks" <89109.nv@...> wrote:

> On my exploratory session, I started with one credit, but later >bumped to full (three) credits to end the experiment....
>
>
Most Diamond Thiefs were two coiners, but there were some three coiners around. Some hustlers put down a play on the three coiners that I didn't care much for.

This situation sometimes developes when you are spinning a play off. You are down to just one section of the large valise needing diamonds. In the process of trying to fill it up, you wind up filling up the entire small valise, except for the section that corresponds to the section of the large valise you are trying to fill up.

At that point, some hustlers, when they get the last section down to one diamond to go, will go to betting three coins. This is their reasoning:

1. Anytime a diamond symbol lands in another section while I'm betting three coins it's going to put double coins (6 coins) in the bank, defraying my cost.

2. When I catch the diamond symbol in the section where I need one diamond to complete the play, it's going to put the extra two diamonds in the small valise, meaning, when the play is over and the small valise becomes the large valise, I can play through another cycle because there won't be a blue hole. It will be only 4 to go to complete another play.

The problem with reason #1. I don't like this reasoning at all. Sure, it's defraying the cost. But even though you are putting double coins in the bank, you are still getting dropped. Which means you are paying an up front cost to create another play.

The problem with reason #2. The small valise is going to be completely empty on the next play, which means there aren't going to be any coins in the bank. And there won't be very many coins in the bank when you complete this play....unless you experience some heavy negative variance and it takes you way to many spins to complete the play....which means you got dropped for way to much money.

A more refined strategy:

A 4 hole in the large valise, but little or no diamonds in the small valise (which means there are no coins in the bank)is not a good play.

A 4 hole in the large valise, and the small valise is mostly full of diamonds, is a good play. The number of coins in the bank and the number of diamonds in the small valise correlate....because every time you put a diamond in the small valise it puts a coin in the bank. If there are 40 diamonds in the small valise then there will be 40 coins or more in the bank (it could be higher than 40 because of double coins going in). In the process of filling this 4 hole up you are going to run the coin meter way high. Combine that with the bonus you get for completing the play and it's a very advantageous situation.

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