Re: [vpFREE] Re: how to tell if your machine is fair?

 

>
> My point is, what if everyone's baseline varied from the expected
> for every VP hand when examined on many different machines for a
> large N value of hands? For example, I thought I was not converting
> 4 to a flush near the expected frequency regardless of what machine
> I played. I then kept count over several sessions on 9/6 job and
> several different machines. I only kept count for 200 consecutive
> events 23 converted out of this lot. Perhaps I am gaffed in a
> negative manner for this hand?
>
When you look at LOTS of items, some are usually far from the norm.
Say you have 1% chance of having very few 4As.

If you look at 4As, 4-2s, ...., 4-Ks, 4 to a spade flush, 4 to a
diamond flush, etc...
Overall you might have a 25% or 50% chance of having at least 1 fluke
result.

Sometimes researchers who use statistics don't understand this "meta-
result".

Mitchell

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