LVA Question of the Day - 30 SEP 2011
Q: I've been looking at the data on sportsinsights.com (the
free section) to see how the public is betting NFL games. My
question is, why doesn't the imbalance of betting action
correlate better to line movements? For example, a
Packers-Niners game late last season opened at GB -9.5 and
80% of the money came in on the Packers during the week. But
the line went down to -9. I understand that lines move in
response to smart money, but with this level of imbalance I
would think that the line would go up, not down. There are
plenty of examples like this every week. I'm very curious to
get your insights.
Read the answer here:
http://www.lasvegasadvisor.com/qod.cfm
<a href="http://www.lasvegasadvisor.com/qod.cfm">
http://www.lasvegasadvisor.com/qod.cfm</a>
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