On Sun, Sep 18, 2011 at 11:32 PM, Rick E. Percy <ricke.percy@yahoo.com>wrote:
> **
>
>
> Jason, It's not too hard to come up with an Average Multiplier given any
> single-strategy method. Since Vegasvpplayer specified an unmodified 9/6 JoB
> strategy that would be used on each play (and also later specified the set
> of multipliers), the normal JoB final hand probabilities that are produced
> by most VP software (like WinPoker) can be used to find the expected value
> of the multipliers.
>
> In this case, multiply each multiplier by its probability and sum them:
> 12 x 0.011512207 Full House
> + 10 x 0.011014511 Flush
> + 7 x 0.011229367 Straight
> + 4 x 0.074448699 Trips
> + 3 x 0.129278902 Two Pairs
> + 2 x 0.217081644 High Pair, Quads, SF, RF
> + 1 x 0.545434669 Garbage
>
> = 1.992126628
>
> I guess it is a matter of opinion, but 99.1520% may not really be that
> close to optimal as strategies go.
>
> There is another single-line strategy that yields 99.6379%, which goes
> after straights, flushes, and full houses more aggressively than unmodified
> 9-6 JoB strategy, while going after royals, straight flushes, and quads less
> aggressively than unmodified 9-6 JoB strategy.
>
> Of course, I agree with what you and others have said elsewhere that a
> 7-tier strategy would produce an even better expected return. ~Rick
>
> ________________________________
> From: Jason Pawloski <jpawloski@gmail.com>
> To: vpFREE@yahoogroups.com
> Sent: Sunday, September 18, 2011 1:39 AM
> Subject: Re: [vpFREE] Re: Ultimate X
>
>
>
> I'm very curious how you calculated the Average Multiplier? That is much
> closer to 2 than I would have guessed it would be (and 99.1520% is much
> closer to optimal than I would have guessed).
>
> On Sat, Sep 17, 2011 at 12:27 AM, Rick E. Percy <ricke.percy@yahoo.com
> >wrote:
>
> > **
> >
> >
> > Return for 9/6 Jacks or Better Ultimate X is using an unmodified 9/6 JoB
> > strategy: 99.1520%
> >
> > Average multiplier would be 1.992127
> > times regular return 99.5439%
> > divided by 2 to account for 10-coin
> > bet instead of 5-coin bet.
> >
> > ________________________________
> > From: vegasvpplayer <vegasvpplayer@gmail.com>
> > To: vpFREE@yahoogroups.com
> > Sent: Friday, September 16, 2011 9:42 AM
> > Subject: [vpFREE] Re: Ultimate X
> >
> >
> >
> >
> > --- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, Vegasvpplayer <vegasvpplayer@...> wrote:
> > >
> > > Anyone know what the return for 9/6 Jacks or Better Ultimate X is using
> > an unmodified 9/6 JoB strategy? Thanks.
> > >
> > > Sent from my iPhone
> > >
> >
> > Btw, the multipliers are different from those I've seen on 8/6 JoB.
> >
> > 2X
> > 2X
> > 2X
> > 12X
> > 10X
> > 7X
> > 4X
> > 3X
> > 2X
> >
> > [Non-text portions of this message have been removed]
> >
> >
> >
>
> [Non-text portions of this message have been removed]
>
> [Non-text portions of this message have been removed]
>
>
>
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