So, what's the plan? Spend 2-4 weeks in Vegas playing FPDW 100 hours per week? That would give you about 400,000 hands, which would be statistically significant (almost 9 royal cycles). The Lotspiech calculator (below) can tell you what to expect. You could tell us how you did here.
http://www.lotspiech.com/poker/GamblersRuin.html
--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, nairb trah <nairbtrah1@...> wrote:
>
> Hey Bob,
>
> I'm not offended, I appreciate the concern. I am sure that a large % of
> players who read about strategy for a particular game and use the strategy
> cards either don't understand it, abandon it when they're way down or up, or
> lack the mental stamina to maintain accuracy. However, I am fairly certain
> that I have mastered 2PJW for all intents and purposes. I'll describe my
> methodology so that you can identify where I might be going wrong:
>
> I came into this with working knowledge of probability/statistics so things
> like penalty cards make sense on a gut level. It's not as though I don't
> require data from others but having a chart of the expected return for every
> possible hand (that I studied first) while I practiced made things easy. As
> soon as I encountered exceptions to general rules, the reasoning behind them
> fell into place which makes remembering those exceptions easy. I do still
> make a mistake every now and then, but they're not statistically significant
> (the only kind I make is picking the wrong single card hold, which is
> usually around a .01 loss in ER for that hand). Since it doesn't happen
> often, they knock off less than .001% off my overall expected return:
> statistically insignificant for my purposes.
>
> It's been a couple weeks since my VPFW trial ended (it's some slick software
> but the most important tools are available elsewhere for free so it didn't
> seem worth the price) but my error rate and their impact on my overall ER
> was equally insignificant then. I've moved on to mastering FPDW as it seems
> like the most prevalent good bet in Vegas. I make sure to go back to 2PJW
> after training with FPDW to make sure I don't confuse strategy between the
> two.
>
> Sorry for the long post but you did ask! VP Theory isn't that complicated so
> I can't imagine there being much difference, if at all, between perfect-play
> strategy given by VPFW and that given by vpgenius. That being said, I am new
> so it's possible I'm overlooking something. I tried to detail my methodology
> as much as possible so that you could identify the errors if there are any.
> I'd much rather be wrong and corrected than continue playing w/blissful
> ignorance of my mistakes!
>
> - Brian
>
> On Thu, Jul 7, 2011 at 9:06 PM, Bob Bartop <bobbartop@...> wrote:
>
> > **
> >
> >
> > --- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "caliexile" <nairbtrah1@> wrote:
> > >
> > >
> > > I mastered 2PJW(FP) using trainers at vpgenius because it is 99.92% at my
> > local casino,
> >
> > Hi, I don't know you from Adam, so don't get offended by what I have to
> > say, but I can't help but raise my eyebrow at your statement of "mastering"
> > 2PJW. Are you sure? You might want to test yourself on some other software
> > like WinPoker or Video Poker for Winners. Just a suggestion. It's a very
> > difficult game.
> >
> >
> >
>
>
> [Non-text portions of this message have been removed]
>
