More precisely, the probability of hitting the fourth card is 2/47. Therefore, the probability of not hitting the fourth card is 45/47. The probability of not getting the fourth card in 30 attempts is (45/47)^30 which is roughly 27.1% which I agree with sheiky2 that it is not unusual.
--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "sheiky2" <sheiky2@...> wrote:
>
> The odds on hitting 4 of a kind, when you have 3 of a kind is 23 1/2 to 1 ( 47 cards left in the deck after 5 are dealt , two cards on the re-deal).
>
> So not getting 4 of a kind( when 3 are dealt) in 30 chances is not that unusual
>
>
>
>
> --- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, uofmsucks1@ wrote:
> >
> > Hi all. I am a novice, recreational player. I stayed and played (if you
> > could call it that) at the Westin in St. Maarten. I lost playing at
> > Double Double Bonus machine's 6/5 payout (yes, that is correct). I realize that
> > the odds are embarrassing, but my question is, can a casino (that is non
> > regulated), work the RNG to deal limited four of a kinds? Besides getting
> > spanked by the poor payouts, I felt cheated by the number of four of a kinds
> > that I received. Without embelishing, I would guesstimate, that I was
> > dealt three of a kind in over 30 situations, to NEVER land a four of a kind on
> > the draw! Can casino's that are non regulated, tamper or set payout
> > limits? Thank you.
> >
> > Regards,
> > Steve
> >
> > [Non-text portions of this message have been removed]
> >
>
