FAQ #8 (http://members.cox.net/vpfree/FAQ.htm#8):
8. What is the long term? - Theoretically speaking, the
long term is forever. For video poker purposes, the long
term is when you have played a lot of hands (several million
at a minimum) and actual results are about the same as
expected results. TomSki calculates (with a 95% confidence
factor) that the actual results for 10/7 DB, played with
perfect strategy, should be within 1.0% of expected results
after 1,085,465 hands, and within 0.1% after 108,546,482
hands.
Long Term Discussion: http://members.cox.net/vpfree/FAQ_LT.htm
Long Term Index: NO: http://members.cox.net/vpfree/Bank_NO.htm
------- Forwarded message follows -------
"5-card" wrote:
For my personal definition of long-term I like a post from Tomski.
Years ago Tomski posted some possible long-term numbers on Skip's board. I
copied a few of them. I didn't copy the pay scales, but 10 or more years ago
FP DW was 100.76% and FP DDB was 98.98%.
"For a 99% confidence of being +/- 1%
DDB requires 2,783,536 hands.
DW requires 1,713,354 hands
JB requires 1,293,635 hands"
Food for thought.
With perfect strategy a $1 9/6 DDB player after 2,783,536 hands has a 99%
confidence of having a loss between $2,783 and $281,137.
