--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "st.tropez97" <st.tropez97@...> wrote:
>
> --- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "Bo Farrwood" <bfarrwood@> wrote:
> >
> > I played 50K at the Eastside Cannery on Sunday on 2$ Bonus
> > Poker from 12-5. I've never played here, and assumed it was
> > their best promotion. I didnt win a single 50$ freeplay.
> > Unless I just was really unlucky, It must not be based on
> > coin in?
>
> According to their website, this promo awards $50 every minute from 12-5 on Sundays. It seems very unlikely that you didn't win even one $50 during the five hours. I would have read the complete rules to make sure I was in compliance, then inquired about not winning. But of course they aren't likely to admit something went wrong.
>
> I don't play at this casino (and I don't know anyone who does since they slashed paytables and slot club benefits) but at other casinos who have had something similar, total coin-in doesn't matter. Anyone playing has an equal chance at winning whether they're playing $2 or 1c.
>
I think my sometimes-math-challenged-mind can handle this one:
Assuming true randomness (no favoritism for players on 90% reel slots, for example) and only active machines being included, then each minute, 1/number-of-active-machines is the probability of your winning freeplay that minute.
Since you played for 5 hours, 300/average-number-of-active-machines was your expectation of getting freeplay for your entire playing session. But we all know short-term volatility swamps expectation. And 5 hours is undeniably short-term.
And if there is favoritism for 90% reel slots (for example), and/or inactive machines can also be chosen each minute, then your chance of being selected for freeplay was even lower.
As a tourist, the last time I was in town I remember playing during a similar promotion at Station Casinos. I assume every machine across all Station Casinos was included, so I wasn't just "fighting" the other people at the casino I was at, I was "fighting" every player at every Station Casino in town. I played for around 4 hours, but didn't get any freeplay.
Also, I was present once when the "jumbo jackpot" was hit, so I got the freeplay awarded to all the "losers". You locals may have seen it a hundred times, but it was a unique experience for me :)
